17th June,2004

The Management Network Group, a leading provider of management consulting services to the global communications industry, today released key findings from a co-authored study with Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc. that analyzes the impact of WiMAX (802.16), MobileFI (802.20), and proprietary wireless broadband technologies on public and private companies in the telecommunications sector.

The joint study assesses the opportunities across the fixed, portable and mobile service markets and presents a high-level comparison of these new technologies. The study also analyzes the gating factors involved for their successful development and implementation, as well as competitive and market dynamics.

Mobile service presents the greatest opportunity for WiMAX and MobileFI but will take longer to develop and will require licensed spectrum due to quality of service requirements.

Portable service and wireless broadband access available in public areas will likely be dominated by WiFi due to its early lead and entrenched position resulting from its low cost and value for users.

"WiMAX, as an alternative technology, will impact deployment strategies for 3G, DSL, cable modems as well as traditional backhaul solutions," said Rich Nespola, CEO of TMNG. "Carriers must adjust strategies now and act quickly to influence the final standard. Technology providers must partner with licensed-spectrum carriers and plan a careful, measured introduction of products and services with maximum functionality."

TMNG views that 802.16 and 802.20 will need to prove themselves primarily as carrier offerings rather than as IT offerings. Currently, IT vendors rather than traditional telecom or wireless carriers are driving WiMax and MobileFi standards. The development of the single WiFi 802.11 standard was a critical factor that led to the mainstream adoption of WiFi. Carriers have the opportunity to drive the standardization of 802.16 and 802.20 and create services and applications to foster market acceptance of these technologies.

TMNG also sees significant opportunity for international markets from a technical, regulatory and economic standpoint. Where penetration of DSL and cable modem broadband service is poor or uneven, as is true in a large number of foreign markets, WiMAX holds strong potential.

"Countries like Australia and Ireland, with high per capita GDP and low per capita broadband penetration, represent significant market opportunities," said John Krzywicki, President, TMNG Strategy.

Furthermore, the study concludes that using these new technologies for access or backhaul may be valuable applications for carriers seeking to reduce their dependence on incumbent local networks.

TMNG and Bear Stearns conducted this primary research with representatives of more than 25 organizations that are actively engaged in the wireless broadband market and that represent a cross-section of the industry including radio, antenna, chipset and device manufacturers, service providers and financial institutions with investment in wireless broadband.

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   More WiFi/WLAN Info  

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