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June 3 2003 Global handset sales will grow 5% in 2003 to 458.4 million units and 11% in 2004 to 506.9 million units as demand continues to recover in mature markets and growth surges in developing markets in APAC and other regions. CDMA sales will grow 19% in 2003 to 89.4 million units and 17% in 2004 with a healthy CAGR of 12% through 2008. GSM sales will grow 7% in 2003 and 17% in 2004 as emerging markets in APAC and ROW regions gain critical penetration. GSM sales will grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2008 as color, MMS, and Java-enabled devices diversify in availability and average retail ASPs on these compelling devices fall into more mass-market consumer price points. 3G handset sales will account for 14% of total global sales in 2003 and 23% of global sales in 2004. 75% of handsets sold in 2008 will be 3G handsets, with the remainder being
primarily GSM/GPRS handsets being sold into emerging markets and low end, voice
centric segments in mature global markets. This data model provides global
handset sales forecasts through 2008 by region and technology.
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